28 Feb 2010
The Hurt Locker Is Going to Win The Oscar for Best Picture
Regarding this post from last week, my classmates and I built a regression model that correctly predicted the Best Picture winner 82% of the time, beginning in 1970. According to our model, Hurt Locker is far and away the favorite, blowing Avatar out of the Pandoran sky.
Along the lines of New York’s “Seducing Oscar” cover story a few weeks ago, I also give Hurt Locker the political relevance and indie upstart edge, in addition to the plus that Cameron has won before, so it’s someone else’s turn.
Place your bets.
